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Retrospective voting3/9/2023 ![]() No commercial reproduction, distribution, display or performance rights in this work are provided. Retrospective voting could certainly be defined more broadly to include nonissue matters, but the concept is identified with Fiorina ( 1981 ), which seems. Political Science Sociology Political Psychology ![]() The National Science Foundation provided research support under grant SES-8309994. In political science, economic voting is a theoretical perspective which argues that voter behavior is heavily influenced by the economic conditions in. Though we alone bear responsibility for the contents of this paper, we have benefited from conversations over the past few years on this topic with Morris Fiorina, Douglas Hibbs, Donald Kinder, and Gerald Kramer. Further progress in this area, we argue, requires explicit treatment of conceptual and statistical issues that have hindered previous research: the dynamic formulation of expectations and preferences, the incidence of policy (and nonpolicy) effects across the population, and notions of incumbency and political responsibility.Īcknowledgments. Afrobarometer publications report the results of national sample surveys on the attitudes of citizens in selected African countries towards democracy. ![]() Published in volume 9, issue 2, pages 54-75 of American Economic. The answers that have been obtained, however, are only partial and limited, as each of these approaches entails serious problems of estimation and interpretation. Conditional Retrospective Voting in Large Elections by Ignacio Esponda and Demian Pouzo. Each of the major types of analyses which have been performed - time-series analyses of national vote totals, presidential popularity, and cross-sectional analyses of individual survey responses - has raised several interesting and important questions. If processes of electoral accountability work on the level of political parties, every voter holds the party she previously voted for to account according to. This paper critically reviews the extensive literature on retrospective voting in response to economic conditions.
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